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Market Intelligence & Forecasts
Bullish Factors
- Major institutional/sovereign adoption expected
- Bitcoin ETF inflows driving demand
- Potential Fed rate cuts improving risk appetite
- Halving cycle dynamics (reduced supply)
Risk Factors
- High volatility and regulatory uncertainty
- Correlation to broader risk assets and liquidity cycles
- Forecasts assume favorable adoption scenarios
- Macro headwinds (recession risk, geopolitical events)
Important Caveats
- These forecasts are not guarantees. Crypto is highly volatile and sensitive to regulation, macroeconomics, and market flows.
- Many forecasts assume major institutional/sovereign adoption and favorable regulation. If these don't materialize, downside risk is significant.
- Forecasts often come from analysts/aggregators rather than official firm strategy desks. Attribution may be loose.
- For modeling purposes, consider using a base/bullish/bearish triad (e.g., base ~$150k in 1 yr, bullish ~$250k, bearish ~$80k) rather than single point forecasts.
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